https://quadrant.org.au/magazine/foreign-affairs/the-diplomatic-folly-of-recognising-palestine/
Anthony Albanese has taken one of the most consequential—and reckless—foreign policy steps of his prime ministership: announcing the decision to recognise Palestine as a state at the UN in September. The move will not bring peace, will not free a single hostage, and will almost certainly reward Hamas for its October 2023 atrocities.
The announcement was made in a chilly Parliament House courtyard on August 11. A prime ministerial media statement said that seventy-seven years ago Australia had supported UN Resolution 181 to create the State of Israel and a Palestinian state. Now, “the world can no longer wait for the implementation of that Resolution to be negotiated between the parties”.
Albanese was emboldened to bring forward recognition now on the basis of: “major new commitments from the Palestinian Authority, including to reform governance, terminate prisoner payments, institute schooling reform, demilitarise and hold general elections. The Palestinian Authority has also restated its recognition of Israel’s right to exist. The President of the Palestinian Authority has reaffirmed these commitments directly to the Australian Government.”
The Prime Minister said that “Australia’s position is predicated on the commitments we have received from the Palestinian Authority”, but the government is taking it on faith that the PA can and will take these steps. Recognition will happen in September at the UN in New York. Whatever the PA does, or fails to do, to implement these rather vague commitments, will happen after that time.
Australia’s move had been some months in the making. In a departure from her normally bloodless delivery Foreign Minister Penny Wong told ABC Radio that “the reason for urgency behind recognition is this, there is a risk that there will be no Palestine left to recognise if the world does not act”. The statement is utter nonsense but shows that the government has a head of steam up on the issue and won’t be deterred by inconvenient facts.
The Australian announcement was part of a co-ordinated effort involving a core group of countries, the UK, Canada and France, joined on occasion by other European nations, Japan and New Zealand. Four “joint statements” since June have been released, making the case that the war in Gaza must be ended “through an immediate and permanent ceasefire” and maintaining that “a negotiated two-state solution [is] the only way to guarantee that both Israelis and Palestinians can live side by side in peace, security, and dignity”.
Anthony Albanese has not yet managed to meet US President Donald Trump face to face, but he was able to put a call through to Mahmoud Abbas, the eighty-nine-year-old President of the Palestinian Authority, to discuss Gaza and a two-state solution. Albanese said: “It was a very constructive discussion … We agreed that we would meet in September in New York on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly.” Albanese also spoke with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and acknowledged that Netanyahu had opposed his proposal to recognise Palestine. That’s hardly surprising given that Australia has subjected Israel to relentless political haranguing since the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023.
Wong and Albanese are careful to put the case that there should be no role for Hamas in a Palestinian state and that the terrorist group should disarm and hand over the Israeli hostages. But our leaders quickly resort to the defence that there is little we can do to shape practical outcomes. Albanese told the ABC’s Laura Tingle in July: “Australia isn’t a central player in the Middle East, but what we can do is continue to do what we have done, which is to take a principled position.”
My contention here is that Australia’s “principled” position to provide recognition to a Palestinian state is an ill-considered policy, driven by domestic political considerations. Moreover, recognition that comes too early and without regard to the realities of the situation in Gaza and the West Bank has the potential to do serious damage. The ultimate winner from this Australian move will be Hamas.