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FOREIGN POLICY

Will Iran Seize Its Only Chance with President Trump? Not agreeing to serious talks with the US to end its nuclear weapons program could prove disastrous for Iran. By Fred Fleitz

https://amgreatness.com/2025/04/11/will-iran-seize-its-only-chance-with-president-trump/

President Trump stunned the world this week when he announced that the U.S. would hold direct talks with Iran on its nuclear weapons program this weekend. The president has given Iran two months to negotiate a new agreement to end its nuclear program and said at the press conference, “I think if the talks aren’t successful with Iran… Iran is going to be in great danger, and I hate to say it.”

The talks are scheduled to take place on Saturday in Oman. The U.S. will reportedly be represented by Middle East Special Envoy Steve Witkoff. Iran’s chief negotiator reportedly will be Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.

Trump said in response to a reporter’s question about whether he would use military force if Iran refused to agree to a nuclear deal, “If it requires military, we’re going to have military.” The President later added that Israel would “be the leader” of a military strike on Iran if nuclear talks fail.

After Trump’s announcement, however, Iranian officials indicated their nation might not engage in serious negotiations when they said Iran would only agree to indirect talks with the U.S. mediated by Oman. Foreign Minister Araghchi added that his government primarily wanted the talks to rule out the use of U.S. military force against Iran.

An administration source told me Iran’s resistance to direct and meaningful talks to end its nuclear weapons program might mean the talks will not take place, at least this weekend. This could lead to Iran suffering severe repercussions from the U.S. and possibly Israel by mid-year.

Why Trump Believes Addressing Threats from Iran Is Urgent

President Trump has moved fast to address threats from Iran because they surged to a dangerous level—especially concerning its nuclear weapons program—due to the Biden administration’s inept Iran policies that amounted to appeasement.

There Is No Private Sector in China: The US Needs Officially to Restrict Cooperation with China by Anna Mahjar Barducci

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/21538/china-private-sector

A larger problem, apart from tariffs, is that China does not have a private sector.

The Chinese Communist Party is the founding and only ruling party of the People’s Republic of China. Hence, all Chinese companies directly support the CCP’s priorities and ambitions to replace the United States as the world’s leading superpower. This plan obviously has little that might be good for the US, its national security, or its interests abroad.

China has openly been pursuing a policy of threatening to take over pro-Western neighbors such as Taiwan, the Philippines, South Korea, the Solomon Islands, India and Japan. In addition, Chinese warships have reportedly been invading Australian airspace and sailing alarmingly close to Australia. The CCP has also recently been trying to make it a “new normal” to have around Taiwan drills that at any time could turn into combat.

It has become increasingly clear that China’s plan to take over Taiwan and other neighbors is a question not of “if” but “when.” It is therefore crucial to understand that there is no private sector in China.

In the 14th Five Year Plan, the CCP identified the following industries as critical to China’s economic development: Artificial intelligence, semiconductors, robotic technology and biotechnology, to name a few.

Investing in China’s “private sector” underwrites China’s expansionist ambitions in Asia and enables it to continue claiming ownership of the South and East China Seas, as well as everything near it, to control world trade.

Investing in China’s “private sector” — effectively the same as its military — destroys the West’s interests, weakens its allies and fast-tracks the CCP in reaching its goals of seizing Taiwan and other neighbors, and possibly triggering a war with the United States. Investing in China’s “private sector” underwrites China’s expansionist ambitions in Asia and enables it to continue claiming ownership of the South and East China Seas, as well as everything near it, to control world trade.

US President Donald J. Trump’s current trade stand-off with the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has already induced some Chinese companies, such as Shein, BYD, TikTok and Temu’s parent company PDD Holdings to move away from China and have induced some Western companies – including Apple, Dell, Hasbro, Microsoft, Hewlett Packard, Stanley Black and Decker, Foxconn, Nintendo, BYD Auto, TSMC, Intel, Mazda, Google and Samsung also to move away or diversify.

Trump Delivers Deadly ‘Either/Or’ to Houthi Terrorists Catherine Salgado

https://pjmedia.com/catherinesalgado/2025/03/31/trump-delivers-deadly-eitheror-to-houthi-terrorists-n4938466

President Donald Trump, after a series of successful strikes against Houthi jihadis, is offering the Houthis a choice between ceasing their terror operations or being destroyed.

The Houthi jihadis have been attacking shipping in the key Red Sea passage, damaging trade for America, Israel, and other nations, since before Trump took office. But now Trump, unlike Joe Biden, is tired of Islamic terrorists pushing America around. So the president just warned the Houthis and their Iranian sponsors: “the real pain is yet to come.”

On his Truth Social platform Monday, Donald Trump posted in his usual confident style, “The Iran-backed Houthi Terrorists have been decimated by the relentless strikes over the past two weeks. Many of their Fighters and Leaders are no longer with us. We hit them every day and night — Harder and harder. Their capabilities that threaten Shipping and the Region are rapidly being destroyed.”

Nor will the strikes cease until the Houthis stop attacking U.S. shipping in the area, Trump added. “Our attacks will continue until they are no longer a threat to Freedom of Navigation. The choice for the Houthis is clear: Stop shooting at U.S. ships, and we will stop shooting at you. Otherwise, we have only just begun, and the real pain is yet to come, for both the Houthis and their sponsors in Iran,” the president ended threateningly.

The Trump foreign-policy team’s real problem The Yemen attack leak was a bad mistake. But a clueless Steve Witkoff’s embrace of Qatar and rationalization of Hamas betray the president’s realist agenda. Jonathan Tobin

https://www.jns.org/the-trump-foreign-policy-teams-real-problem/?utm_campaign=

It was the gaffe that critics of the Trump administration have been praying for. However it happened, the inclusion of Atlantic  editor Jeffrey Goldberg in a group chat on the Signal App among the administration’s leading defense policymakers about an impending attack on the Houthis in Yemen, was a gob-smacking blunder of epic proportions.

It not only embarrassed participants in the conversion, like Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, National Security Advisor Michael Waltz and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard. It called into question the competence of President Donald Trump’s national-security team and the process by which it communicates and shares information at the highest level.

If, as appears to be the case, it was Waltz’s office that  was responsible for connecting Goldberg to the chat, it’s something he’ll never entirely live down, even if Trump is prepared to forgive him.

But as much as Goldberg’s unwitting scoop deserved the headlines and the endless discussions it generated, it was actually not the most troubling news event of the week for Trump’s national-security team.

The worst administration blunder didn’t involve the group chat about Yemen or any other issue that the president’s critics are obsessed with. Instead, it was the comments of Steve Witkoff, his special envoy to the Middle East, on “The Tucker Carlson Show” podcast. The interview made clear that the person Trump has tasked with conducting negotiations about the war in Gaza and the release of the hostages taken on Oct. 7, 2023, is utterly clueless about malign actors like Qatar, Iran and its terrorist proxies.

The Houthi group-chat leak reveals some truly unserious people The Trump administration has too many chuckleheads and too few people of substance. Tim Black

It is a security cock-up of monumental proportions.

We now know that a dozen senior Trump administration officials, including national-security adviser Michael Waltz, vice-president JD Vance and defence secretary Pete Hegseth, were using Signal, a commercial messaging service, to discuss the plan to launch airstrikes on Yemen’s Houthi rebels earlier this month. This in itself ought to set alarm bells ringing. To talk about highly sensitive, top-secret military plans, officials are required to use approved government equipment in a compartmented information facility, not a slightly flashier form of WhatsApp. For obvious reasons.

The reason we know about any of this is even more worrying. Earlier this month, Waltz – the guy charged with maintaining national security, no less – accidentally invited Jeffrey Goldberg, the editor-in-chief of the Trump-hating Atlantic, into this ‘Houthi PC small group’. It beggars belief. Waltz effectively gave a journalist diametrically opposed to the current administration a full view of the Trump White House’s military planning. Goldberg saw all the operational details of the then forthcoming strikes on Yemen. He saw which weapons were to be deployed, the identity of the targets and the sequencing of the attacks. He saw information that could have easily been used to harm US military and intelligence personnel in the Middle East. That it wasn’t is solely down to the fact that Goldberg has been careful about when and how he revealed what had happened, taking special care to withhold and redact key details.

So incredible was this security lapse that Goldberg didn’t believe it at first. He thought he was being entrapped. It was only when the US actually carried out the airstrikes on the Houthis on the day and time that had been discussed in the group that Goldberg finally accepted it was real. Waltz had genuinely given him a front-row seat into the innermost sanctum of the Trump administration. ‘Everyone in the White House can agree on one thing: Mike Waltz is a fucking idiot’, a source told Politico on Tuesday. They’re not wrong.

Of course this is not the first time US officials have used their own private emails or messaging apps to talk policy and share plans. As Goldberg himself notes, national-security officials do communicate on messaging apps like Signal, although they usually confine their chats to routine work matters, rather than top-secret plans to bomb militias in the Middle East.

It’s also a little rich watching Democrats and their media cheerleaders gorging themselves on this security fiasco. They really shouldn’t be chucking rocks, given the dilapidated state of their own glass house. In 2016, it emerged that state department official Jake Sullivan, later the national security adviser to Joe Biden, had been sending messages to Hillary Clinton’s infamous private email account, brimful with highly classified information.

Still, the lack of seriousness on show here is something to behold. These people occupy the most senior offices of state in America. Yet here they were chatting away about launching lethal airstrikes in Yemen on a messaging app, as if they were arranging a night out.

Vice-president Vance complained about ‘bailing Europe out again’, on the grounds that the Red Sea shipping route menaced by the Houthis is used more by European freight than American. To be fair, this is nothing Vance wouldn’t say to European leaders’ faces. But it does capture something of the incoherence of American First foreign policy – a nation at once determined to bend the world to its interests, while being reluctant to protect a shipping lane used by US tankers. The response of defence secretary Hegseth is even more telling for its caps-locked shrillness: ‘I share your loathing of European free-loading. It’s PATHETIC.’

Iran Apparently Planning to Outwit or Outwait Trump, Not Relinquish Its Nuclear Programme by Con Coughlin

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/21505/iran-plans-outwit-outwait-trump

“Something’s going to happen one way or the other. I hope that Iran — and I’ve written him a letter, saying, ‘I hope you’re going to negotiate.’ Because if we have to go in militarily, it’s going to be a terrible thing — for them.” — US President Donald J. Trump, interview with Fox News, March 7, 2025.

So long as the Islamic Republic of Iran indulges in its usual tactic of prevarication in the hope that, by engaging in delaying tactics, it can buy more time to achieve its nuclear ambitions, the credibility of the Trump administration taking direct action against Tehran needs to increase.

Iran’s demand, for example, that it might consider opening negotiations with Washington if the Trump administration first agreed to lift punitive economic sanctions, is a classic exercise in the regime’s attempts to play for time.

Iran’s refusal to accept US President Donald Trump’s demand that it completely dismantle its controversial nuclear programme, which Western intelligence officials are convinced is ultimately designed to build nuclear weapons, raises the very real risk of the US launching direct military action to destroy the programme.

Trump’s initial offer to negotiate an end to Iran’s nuclear programme was contained in a letter he wrote to the ayatollahs on March 7, in which he indicated he was willing to engage in talks concerning Iran’s nuclear activities. But the letter also contained an explicit warning that any failure by Tehran to respond positively to his overture could lead to direct military action.

The Trump administration’s determination to end the threat posed by Iran’s nuclear ambitions once and for all was confirmed by the recent revelation by the Axios news website which, quoting a US official and other sources, said the American president had set a “two-month deadline for reaching a new nuclear deal.”

The new administration’s focus on Iran was confirmed by Steve Witkoff, Trump’s envoy, who confirmed in an interview with Fox News that Trump’s personal approach to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was aimed at avoiding direct military action.

“We don’t need to solve everything militarily… Our signal… to Iran is ‘Let’s sit down and see if we can, through dialogue, through diplomacy, get to the right place’. If we can, we are prepared to do that. And if we can’t, the alternative is not a great alternative.”

Meanwhile, US National Security Advisor Mike Waltz has warned that Iran needs to “hand over and give up” all elements of its nuclear programme including missiles, weaponization and enrichment of uranium “or they can face a whole series of other consequences,” adding that “Iran has been offered a way out of this.”

The latest comments made by Witkoff and Waltz reflect a deepening resolve with the Trump administration to end Iran’s long-running nuclear plans. As Trump himself remarked after announcing his initial overture to Iran, “You can’t let them have a nuclear weapon.”

“The time is coming up. Something’s going to happen one way or the other. I hope that Iran — and I’ve written him a letter, saying, ‘I hope you’re going to negotiate.’ Because if we have to go in militarily, it’s going to be a terrible thing — for them.”

Trump, the Mullahs and Skin in the Game Trump took out Qassem Soleimani for attacking the US Embassy. Who wants to be next? by Kenneth R. Timmerman

https://www.frontpagemag.com/trump-the-mullahs-and-skin-in-the-game/

Trump took out Qassem Soleimani for attacking the US Embassy. Who wants to be next?

You could call it the Donald Trump theory of international relations: getting skin in the game without sending US troops.

That’s what you saw when President Trump offered Zelenskyy the deal to exploit Ukraine’s rare earth minerals. The Z-man was obsessed with getting US “security guaranties” – a promise to send US troops should Russia attack again in the future.

Trump rightly said, no. Instead, he offered to put US companies on the front lines, essentially making those civilians a tripwire should Russia dare attack.

Similarly, last week Trump convinced both Putin and Zelenskyy to engage in a limited ceasefire by ending strikes on energy and other civilian infrastructure, and then floated the idea that Ukraine should sell its power plants to U.S. companies as a deterrent to Russian attacks.

Now as a shareholder, I’m not sure I would want my company owning such a high risk asset. But still. The intent was clear: skin in the game.

Without skin in the game, we see what happens. On Friday, Russia launched waves of armed drones against the Black Sea port city of Odessa, sparking power outages, and the Ukes responded by allegedly blowing up a gas metering station near Kursk, Russia.

Both seemed to be pretty clear ceasefire violations. But with no skin in the game, neither attack has led to consequences, yet.

With NATO, President Trump is using a similar strategy.

Last week, he floated the idea of allowing a French (or other non-American) general to become the Supreme Allied Commander, the first time ever a non-American would command NATO. Some Republicans on the Hill were unhappy with that, but that’s because they don’t understand the notion of skin in the game.

How American Aid Has Subsidized Terror And how it can be stopped by Gregg Roman

https://www.commentary.org/articles/gregg-roman/american-aid-subsidized-terror/?utm_medium=email&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8ThjN4AlJ1

The world should shudder to discover that America’s foreign aid—long intended to uplift those in need overseas—has instead nourished extremists who despise the United States. On February 26, I appeared before the House Oversight Subcommittee on Delivering on Government Efficiency (DOGE) to expose evidence of these betrayals. Far from a mere policy dispute, the misuse of U.S. assistance I documented underscores the magnitude of the negligence and, in certain instances, possible criminal collusion within our humanitarian apparatus. During the hearing, which featured pointed exchanges between subcommittee Chairwoman Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) and Ranking Member Melanie Stansbury (D-N.M.), it became clear that certain federal programs, especially those under the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), have strayed far from their original mission.

More than once, the session erupted in arguments over whether the Biden administration’s policies had inadvertently or deliberately financed radical agendas across the globe. Witnesses included policy analysts, a journalist, and former federal officials. Stansbury lamented what she called “carnage,” “gutting,” and “global realignment” allegedly forced by the new administration’s approach to foreign assistance. Nevertheless, as the hearing progressed, a common thread emerged from multiple testimonies: Federal foreign aid has funded an array of extremist-aligned groups overseas—often at odds with American interests. Greene underscored that the subcommittee would consider criminal referrals if it emerged that U.S. aid had directly abetted terrorist attacks on Americans, declaring that “if USAID funded terrorism that resulted in the death of Americans, then this committee will be making criminal referrals.” Such a stance highlights how severe these findings are.

U.S. Hostage ‘Negotiator’ Says Hamas Wants Peace, Offers ’15-Year Truce’, U.S. Rebuilding of Gaza by Daniel Greenfield

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/21467/us-hostage-negotiator-boehler

President Donald Trump is saying all the right things, on the other hand, his team is going in and saying all the wrong things.

After Trump’s common sense approach, Steve Witkoff, the “envoy” responsible for foisting the disastrous Biden ceasefire on us, would water them down and dismiss the president’s proposals. Now White House Special Envoy for Hostage Affairs, Adam Boehler… said… “Hamas suggested that they would release all hostages, lay down their weapons, and no longer be part of the politics of Gaza and that the US and its allies would ensure there was no military infrastructure remaining in Gaza. In exchange, there would be a five to ten-year truce, and the US and other countries would help rebuild Gaza.”

Hamas is not going to “disarm.” A 10-15 year truce is a period of time during which Hamas rearms and prepares for another October 7 attack, as they have told us over and over again they will do. And Hamas, not Israel or the U.S., will decide when the truce actually lapses. Much like Hamas announced the previous two-year ceasefire was over by attacking on Oct 7.

This proposed deal leaves Hamas in Gaza, and has the U.S. rebuild Gaza for 10-15 years.

In short, it’s the worst deal imaginable for America and for Israel.

The Trump administration’s Gaza policy is completely divided.

On the one hand, President Donald Trump is saying all the right things. On the other hand, his team is going in and saying all the wrong things.

After Trump’s common sense approach, Steve Witkoff, the “envoy” responsible for foisting the disastrous Biden ceasefire on us, would water them down and dismiss the president’s proposals. Now White House Special Envoy for Hostage Affairs, Adam Boehler, who appeared to be a credible figure, decided to directly meet up with Hamas and came out with exactly the sort of thing John Kerry or Jimmy Carter would have come away with.

The Only Game in Town Peter Smith

https://quadrant.org.au/news-opinions/america/the-only-game-in-town/

It would be nice if plucky Ukraine could win the war, but that’s impossible. Trump, like him or not, grasps what his critics refuse to see

Last Tuesday evening I had the delightful experience of watching Sean Spicer, Trump’s first press secretary in 2017, putting Andrew Bolt right about Trump and Ukraine, followed by the lovely Miranda Devine (the Aussie at the New York Post) doing a similar job on Sharri Markson. I just wonder whether Bolt and Markson do any homework. Did they view the whole press conference at the Oval Office? It seems not. Otherwise, they would not have arrived at the characterisation of the meeting which fed their prejudices.

Did they know of the difficulties Trump’s emissary Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Marco Rubio had in separately in dealing with Zelensky in the lead up to him coming to Washington? Both were both given the brush off by Zelensky when trying to get the minerals deal done.

Did they know that Zelensky met with leading Democrats immediately before meeting Trump? What an extraordinary underhand meeting to have had. It seriously calls into question his judgement and frame of mind.

It was wonderful near the end of President Trump’s State of the Union Address when he figuratively waved the letter from Zelensky in which he offered to sign the minerals deal and participate in peace talks. What a quick turnabout almost immediately after the armament supplies were suspended.

Here is a brief selection of quotes which I read from various commentariat glitterati following the spat at the White House.