https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/21820/iran-popular-regime-change
A successful popular uprising without external support is not possible in Iran: The mullahs have repeatedly shown that they are willing to kill as many people as necessary to stay in power.
During the Twelve-Day War, when Iran’s regime was forced to confront an armed adversary, the enforcers who usually beat and abuse unarmed Iranians went into hiding. Their commanders went into hiding. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei went into hiding. This is what the beginning of regime change looks like.
The one scenario that is completely unrealistic, and has never happened, is that unarmed Iranian civilians, without any military support, could overthrow a regime that can even bring in militias from Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen to crush an uprising. When unarmed people confront armed forces, the armed forces win…. There is nothing wrong with overthrowing tyranny with the help of external support, especially when a tyrannical regime is spreading war and chaos throughout the region.
During the Twelve-Day War, Iran’s regime came closer to collapse than ever before. What was missing was an active agent to carry out the regime change. Iran’s ruling mullahs will never become pro-Western or peaceful…. Countries such as the United States and Israel have a crucial role to play in planning for a successful regime change and mobilizing countries that support such a goal….
A successful popular uprising without external support is not possible in Iran: The mullahs have repeatedly shown that they are willing to kill as many people as necessary to stay in power.
The Twelve-Day War between Iran and Israel is a wake-up call for everyone who has finally had enough of the Iranian regime.
Until now, the Iranian opposition-in-exile and all those hoping for regime change have been waiting for some form of popular uprising from the Iranian people. Such waves of protests have taken place in past years, but each time, the mullahs’ regime has become more adept at crushing these revolts, regardless of how much support they received from the international community.